What has to happen for the Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

Now we’re talking.

The Green Bay Packers (7-8) could not have asked for a better weekend, capped with a win over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Football Outsiders now puts the odds of the Packers making the playoffs now at 36.3%, a marked improvement from a couple weeks ago.

Green Bay got help from a number of places, with the New York Giants, Washington Commanders, Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks all losing. The Packers don’t quite control their own destiny yet, but it’s getting closer. Let’s start by assuming the Packers finish the year with wins over Minnesota and Detroit to land at 9-8. Here’s what else still has to happen:

The Giants and Commanders remain the biggest obstacles

Washington Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz throws a pass as he is pressured by San Francisco 49ers linebacker Fred Warner (54) and cornerback Jimmie Ward (1) in the second half of an NFL football game, Saturday, Dec.  24, 2022, in Santa Clara, Calif.  (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

If the season ended today, New York (8-6-1) and Washington (7-7-1) would hold the final two playoff spots.

The easiest way into the playoffs for the Packers would be for Washington to lose once more and Green Bay wins out. The Commanders have two remaining home games against Cleveland (6-9) and Dallas (11-4). On paper, one of those looks easier than the other, but there’s a caveat.

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